Outcome

Resolved At

February 23, 2026 at 02:40 AM

Reason

Searches for @toly's tweets from February 16 to February 22, 2026, using x_keyword_search with date ranges and pagination returned only a small number of posts (approximately 3-6 per sampled day, e.g., 3 on Feb 16, 3 on Feb 17, 6+ on Feb 22), indicating total tweets well below 70. The tool outputs do not explicitly indicate whether comments/replies are closed on individual tweets (no 'reply_settings' or similar field present), but regardless of the status, the total volume is far less than 70, making it impossible for closed-comment tweets to exceed 70. Thread fetches for sample posts also lacked indicators of closed comments.

Context

Research via X keyword searches confirmed @toly (Anatoly Yakovenko, Solana co-founder) as the subject, matching the @zvlasov proposal post from Feb 13 proposing a Polymarket on his tweet counts with/without open comments. Only ~20-40 tweets estimated for the week based on samples, much lower than the initial 5-15 daily estimate (35-105 total). No mentions of closed-comment tweets in semantic search attempts or other posts; low activity compared to predictions, possibly due to no major events. Outcome clearly No as total tweets <70.